VectorGrader.com

Currency Rotation

CurrencySimilar ETFETF
Ticker
Total
Rank
Interest
Rate
Rank
Valuation
Rank
Momentum
Rank
Great Britain Pound CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Tr FXB 1 4 4 1
Australian Dollar CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust FXA 2 1 7 4
U.S. Dollar iShares Barclays Short Treasury Bond SHY 3.5 6 2 5
Canadian Dollar CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust FXC 3.5 2 3 8
Euro CurrencyShares Euro Trust FXE 5 6 5 3
Swedish Krona CurrencyShares Swedish Krona Trust FXS 6 3 6 6
Japanese Yen CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust FXY 7.5 8 1 7
Swiss Franc CurrencyShares Swiss Franc Trust FXF 7.5 6 8 2

As of 05/10/2014

The currency rotation strategy is our method for identifying developed market currencies that are likely to appreciate. It combines valuation, momentum, and yield strategies into one system for currencies. Because strategies sometimes undergo periods of underperformance, combining several uncorrelated strategies can help raise returns while lowering risk.

Methodology

First, we sort the currencies by the sub-strategies. We use purchasing power parity to measure valuation, the previous 12 month return to measure momentum, and the central bank rate to measure yield. The top currency in each sub-strategy gets a score of 1, the next one is assigned a score of 2, and so on. The final rankings are determined by sorting the sum of the scores they received from each sub-strategy.

How to use the Currency Rotation strategy

One way to use this strategy would be to buy the top two or three currencies and sell the bottom few currencies in a forex account. Forex accounts generally come with leverage, so it would be possible to earn higher returns this way as long as the leverage used is not more than 2x.

Another method is to buy the corresponding ETFs to the top two or three currencies in a brokerage account. This is a simple way for stock or ETF investors and is a great way to hedge against a decline in the dollar and to add diversification.