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Sector Rotation

Vanguard Sector Rotation

Recommended number of holdings: 3

Market/SectorETFETF TickerRankSum
Consumer DiscretionaryVanguard Consumer Discret ETFVCR152.81
Information TechnologyVanguard Information Tech ETFVGT251.64
IndustrialsVanguard Industrials ETFVIS345.39
Health CareVanguard Health Care ETFVHT444.76
Consumer StaplesVanguard Consumer Staples ETFVDC534.97
MaterialsVanguard Materials ETFVAW633.15
FinancialsVanguard Financials ETFVFH731.19
EnergyVanguard Energy ETFVDE829.29
UtilitiesVanguard Utilities ETFVPU926.25
TelecommunicationsVanguard Telecommun Serv ETFVOX1018.24

As of: 02/18/12

This sector rotation model ranks sectors by momentum. Momentum has been studied extensively and has been found to produce excess returns across many asset classes.

How can the sector rotation model be used?

While the top sectors are likely to outperform the market, the rankings can change a bit from month to month. To avoid this, either several of the top sectors should be owned, or the top sector should only be sold once its ranking drops below 2. The sector rotation strategy can also be used in combination with a stock selection strategy such as our stock rating system. By buying stocks in the sectors near the top of these rankings, it may be possible to capture some additional alpha.